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Journal of Property Tax Assessment & Administration

Abstract

The objective of this discussion is to prove that heterogeneous variance (heteroscedasticity) in sale prices can drastically reduce the reliability of the computed PRD. Heterogeneous variance can substantially lower the computed PRD if the variance of the sale prices decreases as the sale price increases (falsely indicating progressivity) or substantially raise the PRD if the variance increases as the sale prices increase (falsely indicating regressivity). The PRD can thereby be rendered useless in the face of heteroscedasticity (as when the variances in the sale prices reflect percentage differences rather than uniformly random differences, which is often the case for a wide range of sale prices, such as those for commercial properties or those in a severely escalating residential market).

First Page

5

Last Page

22

Keywords

Mass appraisal techniques, MRA in assessment

Notes

This material was first presented on February 10, 2009, at the 13th Annual GIS/CAMA Technologies Conference in North Charleston, South Carolina.

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